Alien Abduction Odds Index 2026 Looks at Where Reports Happen Most

If you did not have “get abducted by an alien” on your 2026 bingo card, you are in good company. But the Alien Abduction Odds Index 2026 from Canada Sports Betting suggests it is at least statistically possible, especially if you live in Kentucky rather than Tennessee, Illinois, or Indiana.

If you are a fan of Saturday Night Live, there is a good chance you have laughed at one of Kate McKinnon’s “Close Encounter” sketches. In the sketch, Kate plays Ms. Colleen Rafferty, an alien abductee who describes her crude encounters to Pentagon officials. She was often joined by A-list celebrities who couldn't keep a straight face through the sketch when she'd talk about the little grey men throwing her back to earth without her pants.

Outside of shows like Saturday Night Live or Resident Alien, though, how often do you actually hear about alien abductions? Never, right? Well, apparently, people report encountering aliens more often than you might think.

The Alien Abduction Odds Index 2026 compares all 50 U.S. states and 10 Canadian provinces based on where abduction-related UFO reports were most often recorded from 2019 to 2024. The report pulls from five data sources including the National UFO Reporting Center, Canadian UFO Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, Statistics Canada, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Google Trends.

For the U.S., the National UFO Reporting Center was the primary source. Researchers looked at first-hand sighting reports that mentioned abductions or missing time, then compared that data to population estimates from the Census Bureau.

They found that since 2019, New Hampshire has logged 24.34 UFO reports per 100,000 residents, more than any other state. The report also says abduction accounts show up consistently year after year rather than spiking only when media attention ramps up. Interestingly, many of the highest-ranking states are in the Northeast or Northwest.

Photo by Albert Antony on Unsplash
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Where Indiana and Kentucky Rank on The Alien Abduction Odds Index 2026

So what about us?

I looked at the full data set and used AI to help me make sense of the data.

Kentucky ranks 26th in the index with a 1.07 percent implied probability, or about 1 in 93. There is a 1.07 percent chance of abduction in their model, and 1 in 93 people have been abducted according to those odds. The state logged 410 UFO reports and 29 reported abductions since 2019, putting it right in the middle with a steady stream of sightings.

Indiana ranks 49th with a 0.4 percent implied probability, or 1 in 250. The dataset shows zero reported abductions since 2019, which drags its overall score close to the bottom of the rankings.

https://nuforc.org/map/
https://nuforc.org/map/
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It is important to note that the National UFO Reporting Center map still shows plenty of UFO sightings in Indiana and even around the tri-state. People are seeing things in the sky. They just are not reporting missing time or having a conversation with little green, grey, pink, or purple men.

So yes, we might have higher energy bills here in the Hoosier State. But fewer reported abductions. Small victories.

See data from more states here.

Why Is a Sports Betting Site Doing This

Let’s address the obvious question. Why would a Canadian sports betting site release a report on alien abductions?

In the report, an analyst at Canada Sports Betting makes it clear they are not actually trying to predict alien encounters. “This isn’t about predicting alien encounters. The implied probability is simply a way of showing where these kinds of reports tend to show up more often than elsewhere. When you look at the data year after year, the same places keep appearing. Some regions just generate more of these stories, not once, but repeatedly. For most people, nothing unusual will ever happen. But from a reporting point of view, a few areas clearly stand out, and that’s exactly what this index is capturing.”

Sites like this create off-the-wall reports to get your attention. It might not have much to do with betting, but now you have heard of the site. That is called earned media, and the goal is visibility. Which I clearly walked right into.

Because technically, the odds of getting abducted by aliens are something you can bet on. And if you are in the business of odds, you might as well have a little fun with them.

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